Fajing Sun vs Hayato MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fajing Sun and Hayato Matsuoka have met 3 times since 2025; Fajing Sun leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Qian Daohu 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sun leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sun has taken 4 sets to Matsuoka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Astana Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sun | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fajing Sun | Hayato Matsuoka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 72% | 34/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 11/30 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 30% | 23/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 56% | 24/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 6/18 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 81% | 34/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 0, Matsuoka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sun
🏹 Frontrunner
Matsuoka
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 195 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Astana Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 6, 2026
Nonthaburi 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2025
M25 Qian Daohu 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sun | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fajing Sun | Hayato Matsuoka | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sun | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | -55.7% | +14.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.57u | +2.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sun | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,119 mi · 3,410 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | TUR → KAZ | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sun has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Matsuoka's 60%).
| Opponent | Sun | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Takuya Kumasaka | W 62 62 | W 64 61 |
| Koki Matsuda | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 36 63 64 | L 46 57 |
| Maximus Jones | L 26 16 | L 46 46 |
| Ognjen Milic | W 64 61 | W 64 57 64 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 76 62 | L 06 46 |
| Omar Jasika | L 62 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Li Tu | W 57 64 75 | L 36 67 |
| Tai Sach | W 62 61 | W 75 62 |
| Justin Boulais | W 61 61 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Semen Pankin
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Zangar Nurlanuly
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Semen Pankin
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mees Rottgering
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ozan Baris
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Koki Matsuda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Shintaro Mochizuki
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yosuke Watanuki
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–76 matches
| Metric | Sun | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sun | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sun | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.