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Head-to-Head

Fajing Sun vs Hayato MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Fajing Sun and Hayato Matsuoka have met 3 times since 2025; Fajing Sun leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Qian Daohu 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sun leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sun has taken 4 sets to Matsuoka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Astana Challenger (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSunMatsuoka
Wins in straight sets67%72%
Wins a set when losing34%35%
Goes to a deciding set34%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%53%
Tiebreak sets won39%40%
Wins after taking set 188%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 175%77%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 0, Matsuoka 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sun

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds
vs

Matsuoka

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Matchup analysis

Both Fajing Sun and Hayato Matsuoka are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 280 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Aug 14, 2026

Astana Challenger

H Hard · Quarterfinals

57
57
Matsuoka

Jan 6, 2026

Nonthaburi 1 Challenger

H Hard · 1st Round

62
26
62
Sun

Oct 31, 2025

M25 Qian Daohu 1

H Hard · Quarterfinals

36
62
60
Sun

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSunMatsuoka
1 or more95%88%
3 or more68%63%
5 or more47%38%
10 or more0%13%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSunMatsuoka
W-L9–912–6
Avg odds2.092.06
ROI %-9.8%+15.1%
Units P/L-1.77u+2.71u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSunMatsuoka
Countries11
Events32
Matches63
Distance1,078 mi · 1,735 km651 mi · 1,048 km
RouteCHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sun has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Matsuoka's 60%).

OpponentSunMatsuoka
Kasidit Samrej
W
64
75
W
46
75
75
Bernard Tomic
L
46
76
36
W
76
76
Matthew Dellavedova
W
36
61
76
W
63
61
Tung-Lin Wu
W
67
64
76
L
36
67
Takuya Kumasaka
W
62
62
W
64
61
Koki Matsuda
W
63
64
W
63
64
Masamichi Imamura
W
36
63
64
L
46
57
Maximus Jones
L
26
16
L
46
46
Ognjen Milic
W
64
61
W
64
57
64
Tristan Schoolkate
W
76
62
L
06
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sun
LWWLLWWL
L

Alibek Kachmazov

Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals

36
46

Oct 9

W

Kasidit Samrej

Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round

64
75

Oct 8

W

Aoran Wang

Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round

Oct 6

L

Bernard Tomic

Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round

46
768
36

Sep 29

L

Roman Safiullin

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round

26
06

Sep 24

W

Bernard Tomic

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying

64
75

Sep 23

W

Matthew Dellavedova

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying

36
61
764

Sep 22

L

Alexander Binda

Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round

64
647
46

Sep 17

Matsuoka
WWLWLLLW
W

James McCabe

Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

63
64

Oct 12

W

Qian Sun

Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

62
657
64

Oct 11

L

Taro Daniel

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying

46
697

Sep 23

W

Arthur Weber

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying

64
75

Sep 22

L

Lloyd Harris

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round

766
57
647

Sep 15

L

Jake Delaney

Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round

62
657
667

Sep 7

L

Enzo Aguiard

Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round

36
46

Sep 1

W

Aziz Dougaz

Astana Challenger · Final

06
61
765

Aug 16

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SunSun ahead↓ Matsuoka

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–81 matches

MetricSunMatsuoka
Matches won53%62%
Sets won52%59%
Games won52%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSunMatsuoka
ATP Challenger Tour11
ITF M2510

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSunMatsuoka
Hard21

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Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka FAQ

Fajing Sun leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.