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Head-to-Head

Hanyi Liu vs Ren NakamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
Shanghai Challenger
Level
ATP Challenger Tour
Round
1st Round Qualifying
Surface
Hard
Date & time
September 6 ยท 4:40 AM ET

Book odds

Ren Nakamura5.21
Hanyi Liu1.13
NakamuraHard-court specialist (84%)LiuHard-court specialist (95%)

Record at prices like this

Ren Nakamura5.21implies 12%won 0%โˆ’12 pts

At 5.21 or longer, Ren Nakamura has won 0 of 13 (0%). The price implied 12%, so Ren Nakamura has fallen 12 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Hanyi Liu takes on Ren Nakamura in first round qualifying at the Shanghai Challenger on September 6, a hard court event that will test both players' consistency over short rallies. Liu, ranked 912th, brings steadier recent form into the matchup, while Nakamura sits at 1689th and arrives on a two-match losing streak. The two have no previous head-to-head record.

Liu has won two of three meetings against common opponents, defeating both Ryota Tanuma and Yuta Kawahashi where Nakamura faltered. Over their last 10 matches, Liu holds a 60% win rate on hard courts against Nakamura's 50%, though both players have struggled over the past five matches with identical 40% records. Liu's current form dipped with a loss four days ago after a relatively active stretch of four matches in two weeks.

Nakamura grinds from the baseline and relies on volume to wear opponents down, a style that demands extended rallies and patience. Liu plays a more reactive game, waiting for openings to redirect pace and dictate from the back of the court. On a fast hard court, Liu's counter-attacking approach may find more opportunities in shorter points, while Nakamura will need to construct length and force extended exchanges to impose his rhythm.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorLiuNakamura
Wins in straight sets77%67%
Wins a set when losing28%6%
Goes to a deciding set25%16%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite80%100%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog55%13%
Tiebreak sets won50%50%
Wins after taking set 181%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 181%67%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Liu

๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Nakamura

โš™๏ธ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher vs โš™๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 849 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Liu and Nakamura have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeLiuNakamura
1 or more64%75%
3 or more46%0%
5 or more18%0%
10 or more9%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricLiuNakamura
W-L7โ€“33โ€“6
Avg odds2.234.86
ROI %+16.8%-17.6%
Units P/L+1.68u-1.58u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricLiuNakamura
Countries12
Events23
Matches44
Distanceโ€”โ€”
RouteCHNTPE โ†’ INA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Across 2 shared opponents, both Liu and Nakamura posted a 50% win rate.

OpponentLiuNakamura
Zi Hui Chen
W
64
63
W
60
60
Koki Matsuda
L
26
46
L
46
16

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Liu
LWLWLWWW
L

Fajing Sun

Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 2nd Round

06
57

Sep 2

W

Kaichi Uchida

Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 1st Round

36
63
62

Aug 31

L

Chase Ferguson

M15 Maanshan ยท 2nd Round

36
26

Aug 27

W

Xing Dao Chen

M15 Maanshan ยท 1st Round

62
61

Aug 26

L

Hoyoung Roh

M15 Wuning ยท Quarterfinals

64
36
57

Jul 10

W

Jia Hu

M15 Wuning ยท 2nd Round

62
61

Jul 9

W

Kosuke Shibano

M15 Wuning ยท 1st Round

61
61

Jul 8

W

Zhao Zhao

M15 Wuning ยท 2nd Round

62
64

Jul 2

Nakamura
LLWLWLWL
L

Azuma Visaya

M15 Bali ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

16
16

Aug 31

L

Kristjan Tamm

M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round

36
16

Aug 26

W

Aniketh Venkataraman

M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round Qualifying

62
61

Aug 23

L

Ryuki Matsuda

M25 Taipei ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

46
26

Aug 17

W

Aditya Kothari

M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round Qualifying

60
60

Aug 16

L

Corban Crowther

M15 Bali ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

647
57

Jul 27

W

Diordan Macababbad

M15 Bali ยท 1st Round Qualifying

637
64
106

Jul 26

L

Keisuke Saitoh

M15 Bali ยท 1st Round

46
06

Jul 22

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 25โ€“40 matches

MetricLiuNakamura
Matches won55%36%
Sets won54%35%
Games won52%46%