Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gustavo Heide and Hernan Casanova have met 3 times since 2021; Gustavo Heide leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Brasilia Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Heide leads 2–1. Heide has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Heide has taken 5 sets to Casanova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gustavo Heide won at Curitiba Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Heide | Casanova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gustavo Heide | Hernan Casanova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 42/54 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 7/24 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 19/78 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 33/53 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 49/53 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 42/53 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Heide 2, Casanova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Heide
🪃 Counterpuncher
Casanova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gustavo Heide.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2025
M25 Lajeado 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 23, 2021
Brasilia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Heide | Casanova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gustavo Heide | Hernan Casanova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Heide | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | -46.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.48u | -3.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Heide | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | BRA | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Heide has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Casanova's 56%).
| Opponent | Heide | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Ribeiro | L 63 36 46 | W 75 62 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | L 16 46 | L 36 64 46 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | W 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Nicolas Mejia | L 46 36 | L 36 26 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 76 64 | L |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 62 62 | W |
| Mateus Alves | W 75 62 | W 67 61 62 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | W 62 75 | L 63 26 67 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | W 61 61 | W 60 06 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eduardo Ribeiro
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Maximo Zeitune
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Curitiba Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Lautaro Midon
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Hernan Casanova
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Stan Wawrinka
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexandre Bobiere
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Wilson Leite
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Flynn Thomas
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Carlos Lopez Montagud
M25 Denia · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–78 matches
| Metric | Heide | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 67% |
| Sets won | 66% | 64% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Heide | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Heide | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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