Goncalo Marques vs Kaya ArincPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Goncalo Marques and Kaya Arinc have met 1 time since 2026; Goncalo Marques leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marques has taken 2 sets to Arinc's 0. Their most recent meeting: Goncalo Marques won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marques | Arinc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Goncalo Marques | Kaya Arinc | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 32/42 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 13% | 2/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 19/68 | 14% | 3/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 15/22 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 16/31 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marques 1, Arinc 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marques
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arinc
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Goncalo Marques and Kaya Arinc are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 25, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marques | Arinc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Goncalo Marques | Kaya Arinc | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 24/26 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 20/26 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 12/26 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/26 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marques | Arinc |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–10 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 6.47 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.85u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marques | Arinc |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marques has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arinc's 50%).
| Opponent | Marques | Arinc |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Nunez | W 60 61 | L 76 67 810 |
| Beren Tan | W 64 61 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duje Ajdukovic
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Petr Nesterov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Christian Langmo
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Georgii Kravchenko
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Lui Maxted
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Final
Sep 13
Rohan Mehra
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 30
Rohan Mehra
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 23
Emirhan Bulut
M15 Baku · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Ahmet Atabay
M15 Baku · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Gabriel Ghetu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Clement Lemire
M15 Monastir · Round of 32
Jun 3
Clement Lemire
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 3
Goncalo Marques
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–68 matches
| Metric | Marques | Arinc |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 24% |
| Sets won | 60% | 27% |
| Games won | 54% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marques | Arinc |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marques | Arinc |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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