Gilles Simon vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gilles Simon and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 7 times since 2016; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. On hard courts Busta leads 2–1. Across all meetings Simon has taken 7 sets to Busta's 11. Their most recent meeting: Gilles Simon won at Roland Garros (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simon | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Simon | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 45% | 27/60 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 47% | 18/38 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 57% | 12/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 31/35 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 66% | 23/35 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Simon 1, Carreno Busta 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simon
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 24, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Aug 5, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 7, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 6, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 10, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
May 3, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 29, 2016
Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Simon | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simon | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
ATP Masters 1000 Paris · Round of 16
Nov 3
Taylor Fritz
ATP Masters 1000 Paris · Round of 32
Nov 2
Andy Murray
ATP Masters 1000 Paris · Round of 64
Oct 31
Matteo Arnaldi
Brest · Round of 16
Oct 27
Laurent Lokoli
Brest · Round of 32
Oct 25
Lorenzo Sonego
Metz · Round of 16
Sep 22
David Goffin
Metz · Round of 32
Sep 20
Dominic Thiem
Rennes · Round of 32
Sep 13
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Simon | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 65% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Simon | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Simon | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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