Gilles Muller vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gilles Muller and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2015; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2015 on hard. On clay courts Busta leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Busta has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Busta leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 4 sets to Busta's 7. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Australian Open (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Muller | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 45% | 27/60 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 47% | 18/38 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 57% | 12/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 31/35 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 66% | 23/35 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Carreno Busta 2).
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
May 7, 2017
Estoril
C Clay · Final
May 1, 2015
Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 20, 2015
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Atlanta · Quarterfinals
Oct 24
Lorenzo Sonego
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 28
Yannick Maden
Vancouver · Round of 16
Aug 10
Christopher Eubanks
Vancouver · Round of 32
Aug 8
Quentin Halys
Los Cabos · Round of 32
Aug 1
Marcel Granollers
Newport · Round of 16
Jul 12
Marcos Baghdatis
Newport · Round of 32
Jul 9
Philipp Kohlschreiber
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 5
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Muller | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 65% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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