Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hugo DellienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Porto Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 3 · 9:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.29 or shorter, Hugo Dellien has won 74 of 90 matches, 82% against a fair-price expectation of 79%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly meets Hugo Dellien in the second round of the Porto Challenger on clay on September 3rd. Bailly, ranked 244th, advanced through the first round with a win; Dellien, ranked 140th, also won his opening match. Neither player has faced the other before.
Dellien has been the more consistent performer on clay recently, posting a 15-5 record compared to Bailly's 9-11 mark. Both players won their opening matches and arrive with one-day rest. Dellien has played three matches in the last two weeks and holds a 4-1 record over that span; Bailly played once in the same period and sits at 1-1 in his last two. Their head-to-head against common opponents shows mixed results, with Bailly defeating Alex Barrena while Dellien lost to him, yet Dellien beating both Carlo Alberto Caniato and Kilian Feldbausch after Bailly fell to those same players.
Both men operate in similar fashion on clay, relying on physicality and baseline intensity to wear down opponents. The difference lies in execution: Dellien's 75% clay win rate reflects sustained comfort on the surface, while Bailly's 45% record suggests inconsistency in translating his fighting style into points. Dellien will need to maintain his rhythm and rhythm control; Bailly must cut down unforced errors and build longer rallies to stay competitive.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaud Bailly | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Hugo Dellien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 29/39 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/69 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 77% | 10/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 35/43 | 82% | 31/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 29/43 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Dellien
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Hugo Dellien are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,648 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Bailly and Dellien have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bailly | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Hugo Dellien | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | +23.7% |
| Units P/L | -6.52u | +2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bailly | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,896 mi · 6,270 km |
| Route | BEL → CZE → USA → POR | USA → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Bailly and Dellien posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bailly | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | W 76 63 | L 75 16 46 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | L 57 26 | W 63 75 |
| Kilian Feldbausch | L 26 26 | W 61 57 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 76 | L 46 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Zaccharie Cado
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 11
Samuele Pieri
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Moez Echargui
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Benjamin Bonzi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Pedro Martinez
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Enrico Dalla Valle
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–69 matches
| Metric | Bailly | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 64% |
| Sets won | 57% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |