Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Gianmarco Ferrari
#512 · 25 yrs · L
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wGianmarco Ferrari and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 2 times since 2022; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Parma Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–0. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ferrari has taken 1 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Cattolica Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferrari | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianmarco Ferrari | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/24 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 18/30 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 9/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 30/31 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferrari 0, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferrari
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
Cattolica Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 4, 2022
Parma Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferrari | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianmarco Ferrari | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -26.4% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.38u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Samuele Seghetti
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 18
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · Semifinals
Jun 19
Giorgio Tabacco
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Milano · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Milano · 1st Round
Jun 16
Leonardo Borrelli
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Roberto Carballes Baena
Cattolica Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–60 matches
| Metric | Ferrari | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferrari | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferrari | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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