Gianluca Cadenasso vs Matthew William DonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Gianluca Cadenasso
#220 · 22 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇨🇿Matthew William Donald
#418 · 21 yrs · R
3Gianluca Cadenasso and Matthew William Donald have met 1 time since 2026; Matthew William Donald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cadenasso has taken 1 sets to Donald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matthew William Donald won at Genoa 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cadenasso | William Donald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianluca Cadenasso | Matthew William Donald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 73% | 40/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 27% | 23/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 92% | 48/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 77% | 40/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cadenasso 0, William Donald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cadenasso
⚔️ The Gladiator
Donald
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Gianluca Cadenasso and Matthew William Donald are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2026
Genoa 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cadenasso | Donald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianluca Cadenasso | Matthew William Donald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cadenasso | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -42.4% | +4.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.97u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cadenasso | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | 553 mi · 890 km | 462 mi · 744 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Cadenasso and Donald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cadenasso | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Krumich | L 67 36 | W 46 61 63 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | W 61 76 | W |
| Francesco Forti | L 16 57 | L 67 26 |
| Giovanni Oradini | W 67 63 64 | L 76 57 26 |
| Sebastian Sorger | W 36 63 61 | L 36 46 |
| Miguel Damas | L 26 36 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Massimo Giunta
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Filippo Moroni
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Vitaliy Sachko
Bari Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lorenzo Angelini
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Matthew William Donald
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Francesco Forti
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Federico Cina
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Bari Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Martin Krumich
Bari Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lorenzo Giustino
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Olle Wallin
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Bari Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Carles Cordoba
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Gianluca Cadenasso
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–84 matches
| Metric | Cadenasso | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 65% |
| Sets won | 60% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cadenasso | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cadenasso | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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