Gael Monfils vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทGael Monfils
#254 ยท 40 yrs ยท R
6w34 meetings ยท sets 4โ7
๐ฏ๐ตKei Nishikori
Unranked
Gael Monfils and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Monfils has taken 4 sets to Nishikori's 7. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at US Open (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Monfils | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gael Monfils | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 5/11 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Monfils 0, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Monfils
๐ค Servebot
Nishikori
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐น Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gael Monfils.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Aug 9, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Aug 11, 2016
Rio Olympics
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 30, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Monfils | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gael Monfils | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Monfils | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ3 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 3.13 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Monfils | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 15โ21 matches
| Metric | Monfils | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 52% |
| Sets won | 42% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Monfils | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Monfils | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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