Gabriele Pennaforti vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 23 · 2:05 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.30 or shorter, Lorenzo Carboni has won 13 of 16 (81%). That is level with the 81% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Gabriele Pennaforti and Lorenzo Carboni meet next at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on September 23 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pennaforti | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Pennaforti | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 7/7 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 4/19 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 7/11 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 7/11 | 59% | 24/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pennaforti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carboni
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,362 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriele Pennaforti.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Pennaforti and Carboni have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pennaforti | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Pennaforti | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pennaforti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -53.8% | -34.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.84u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pennaforti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | SUI → ITA → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Pennaforti and Carboni posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Pennaforti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Gerard Campana Lee | W 62 75 | L 26 36 |
| Thilo Behrmann | L 16 06 | W 62 61 |
| Gabriele Crivellaro | L 26 26 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicholas David Ionel
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nicolas Parizzia
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
George Lazarov
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Peter Buldorini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Giacomo Crisostomo
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Gerard Campana Lee
Seville Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Pedro Martinez
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–66 matches
| Metric | Pennaforti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 53% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |