Francisco Rocha vs Tiago PereiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Porto Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.09 or shorter, Tiago Pereira has won 19 of 19 matches, 100% against a fair-price expectation of 90%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Francisco Rocha and Tiago Pereira meet next at the Porto Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Tiago Pereira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 34% | 14/41 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 31% | 27/87 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 6/11 | 54% | 28/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 14/33 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 80% | 39/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 67% | 33/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Pereira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tiago Pereira.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Rocha and Pereira have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Tiago Pereira | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 12–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -23.2% | -16.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.32u | -3.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 8 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR | POL → TUR → POR → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pereira has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rocha's 20%).
| Opponent | Rocha | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Cacao | L 67 36 | L 76 46 36 |
| Patrick Schoen | L 26 67 | L 63 67 06 |
| Guilherme Valdoleiros | W 62 60 | W 60 61 |
| Tiago Torres | L 64 36 26 | W 63 36 76 |
| Georgii Kravchenko | L 16 46 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiago Cacao
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Tiago Cacao
M15 Castelo Branco · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matisse Farzam
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Riccardo Bellotti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Emile Hudd
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Mert Alkaya
M25 Porto · Semifinals
Jun 27
Goncalo Marques
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Niccolo Catini
M25 Poznan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tristan McCormick
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Rodrigo Leal
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oleg Prihodko
M25 Koszalin · Final
Aug 2
Niklas Guttau
M25 Koszalin · Semifinals
Aug 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–87 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 53% |
| Sets won | 44% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |