Francisco Rocha vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Rocha and Tiago Cacao have met 2 times since 2026; Tiago Cacao leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Castelo Branco in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Cacao leads 2–0. Cacao has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rocha has taken 1 sets to Cacao's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tiago Cacao won at M25 Idanha-a-Nova (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 9/30 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 8/14 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rocha 0, Cacao 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 383 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 17, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Tiago Cacao | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 80% | 20/25 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 32% | 8/25 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 20% | 5/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–9 | 14–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -78.0% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -8.58u | -2.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cacao has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rocha's 40%).
| Opponent | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Olle Wallin | L 46 26 | L 57 67 |
| Salvador Monteiro | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Patrick Schoen | L 26 67 | L 57 57 |
| Tiago Torres | L 64 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Joao Dinis Silva | W 63 64 | W 62 63 |
| Tiago Pereira | L 46 57 | W 67 64 63 |
| Fabrizio Andaloro | L 67 46 | L 57 16 |
| Goncalo Marques | W 64 67 64 | L 67 57 |
| Philip Henning | L 16 46 | L 36 46 |
| Unknown Player | W | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksii Krutykh
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Salvador Monteiro
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Benjamin Pietri
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 8
Sergi Perez Contri
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milos Karol
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Semifinals
Sep 19
Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–65 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 54% |
| Sets won | 44% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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