Francisco Rocha vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Rocha and Tiago Cacao have met 2 times since 2026; Tiago Cacao leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Castelo Branco in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Cacao leads 2–0. Cacao has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rocha has taken 1 sets to Cacao's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tiago Cacao won at M25 Idanha-a-Nova (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 6/11 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 14/33 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 82% | 14/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rocha 0, Cacao 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tiago Cacao.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 17, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Tiago Cacao | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -23.2% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.32u | -1.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR | GBR → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Rocha and Cacao posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Goncalo Marques | W 64 67 64 | L 67 57 |
| Philip Henning | L 16 46 | L 36 46 |
| Guilherme Valdoleiros | W 62 60 | W 63 75 |
| Karan Singh | W 75 64 | W 62 62 |
| Mert Alkaya | L 64 67 16 | L 67 46 |
| Georgii Kravchenko | L 16 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Dali Blanch | L 36 57 | L 46 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiago Cacao
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Tiago Cacao
M15 Castelo Branco · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matisse Farzam
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Riccardo Bellotti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Emile Hudd
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Mert Alkaya
M25 Porto · Semifinals
Jun 27
Goncalo Marques
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Francisco Rocha
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Benjamin Gusic - Wan
M25 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 5
Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Giulio Perego
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Oscar Brown
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Castelo Branco · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–49 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 49% |
| Sets won | 44% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocha | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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