Francisco Comesana vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Comesana and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2025; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Busta leads 2–0. Busta has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Comesana has taken 0 sets to Busta's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Valencia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Comesana | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Comesana | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 14/26 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 20/42 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 6/22 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 10/21 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Comesana 0, Carreno Busta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Comesana
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francisco Comesana.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 12, 2026
Valencia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Comesana | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Comesana | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -55.4% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.43u | -1.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | ARG | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Comesana's 20%).
| Opponent | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 36 36 | L 36 64 16 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 63 310 | L |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 36 57 | L 46 26 |
| Tomas Machac | L 63 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 26 63 64 | L 61 57 26 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 75 61 | L 36 64 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 46 67 | L 63 57 57 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 67 75 76 46 67 | L 36 46 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 26 46 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Guido Ivan Justo
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Juan Estevez
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Flavio Cobolli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Altmaier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Yibing Wu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Kei Nishikori
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 62% |
| Sets won | 46% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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