Francisco Comesana vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Comesana and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2025; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Busta leads 2–0. Busta has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Comesana has taken 0 sets to Busta's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Valencia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Comesana | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Comesana | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 16/42 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 6/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Comesana 0, Carreno Busta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Comesana
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 12, 2026
Valencia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Comesana | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Comesana | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -35.3% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.12u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,107 mi · 1,781 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Comesana's 30%).
| Opponent | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 36 57 | L 46 26 |
| Tomas Machac | L 63 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 26 63 64 | L 61 57 26 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 75 61 | L 36 64 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 46 67 | L 63 57 57 |
| Daniel Rincon | L 46 75 67 | W 62 62 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 67 75 76 46 67 | L 36 46 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 26 46 | W 64 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 26 16 |
| Billy Harris | W 63 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Yibing Wu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Daniel Rincon
Milan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Diego Dedura
Milan Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mariano Dedura-Palomero
Milan challenger
Jul 1
Matthew William Donald
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–65 matches
| Metric | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 65% |
| Sets won | 47% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Comesana | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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