Francesco Passaro vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Passaro
#229 · 25 yrs · R
5Title2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Shintaro Mochizuki
#123 · 23 yrs · R
Francesco Passaro and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2023; Francesco Passaro leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife 3 Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Passaro leads 2–0. Passaro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 4 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francesco Passaro won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 2, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Passaro.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 7, 2023
Tenerife 3 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -4.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | ITA | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Passaro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mochizuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Passaro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | W 63 36 63 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oriol Roca Batalla
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lorenzo Sonego
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–63 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 40% |
| Sets won | 57% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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