Francesco Maestrelli vs Toby SamuelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Maestrelli and Toby Samuel have met 1 time since 2026; Toby Samuel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 1 sets to Samuel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Toby Samuel won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Samuel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Toby Samuel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 83% | 52/63 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/56 | 24% | 19/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 12/25 | 67% | 42/63 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 92% | 55/60 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 14/25 | 87% | 52/60 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 0, Samuel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Samuel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maestrelli | Samuel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Maestrelli | Toby Samuel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -36.9% | +26.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.80u | +3.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 523 mi · 841 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Samuel's 50%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Nagel | W 64 76 | L 46 57 |
| Lukas Neumayer | W 64 60 | L 36 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 64 | W 61 76 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 57 46 | L 67 36 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 67 64 62 | W 63 60 |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | W 63 61 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hynek Barton
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Mackenzie McDonald
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Andy Andrade
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tomas Machac
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Cristian Garin
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Billy Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–84 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 76% |
| Sets won | 45% | 72% |
| Games won | 48% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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