Francesco Maestrelli vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli
#168 · 23 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇳🇴Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#149 · 19 yrs · R
Francesco Maestrelli and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have met 1 time since 2026; Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1–0. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 0 sets to Kjaer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Budkov Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 12/23 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 19% | 5/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/52 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 10/23 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 13/26 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 12/24 | 68% | 17/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 0, Budkov Kjaer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Kjaer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maestrelli | Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Maestrelli | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -59.4% | -58.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.16u | -5.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kjaer's 20%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 62 16 61 | L 67 36 |
| Tom Gentzsch | L 46 46 | L 67 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | W 76 61 | W 57 61 75 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 67 16 | L 46 63 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Bu Yunchaokete
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Andrea Pellegrino
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Matej Dodig
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Mackenzie McDonald
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–63 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 51% |
| Sets won | 44% | 47% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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