Francesco Maestrelli vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli
#171 · 23 yrs · R
31 meeting · sets 0–2
🇳🇴Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#152 · 20 yrs · R
Francesco Maestrelli and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have met 1 time since 2026; Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1–0. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 0 sets to Kjaer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Budkov Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/56 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 12/25 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 14/25 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 0, Budkov Kjaer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Kjaer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maestrelli | Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Maestrelli | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -36.9% | -25.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.80u | -4.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 523 mi · 841 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Maestrelli's 14%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | W 46 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 06 36 | L 67 36 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 36 | L 76 26 46 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | L 06 62 16 | W 76 46 64 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 67 16 | W 62 36 64 |
| Tom Gentzsch | L 46 46 | L 67 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Felix Balshaw
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jie Cui
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Titouan Droguet
Cassis Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Moez Echargui
Cassis Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Felix Balshaw
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–64 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 47% |
| Sets won | 45% | 45% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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