Frances Tiafoe and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2018; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Roland Garros (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Frances Tiafoe.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.17u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tiafoe's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | W 63 76 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 46 62 | W 64 63 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 67 16 | W 63 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 75 67 75 | W 63 63 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 16 57 | W 46 76 62 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 64 26 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 46 | L 46 26 46 |
| Yoshihito Nishioka | W 63 76 63 | W 60 63 |
Last five matches per player
Sho Shimabukuro
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Jiri Lehecka
BOSS OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rinky Hijikata
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Daniel Altmaier
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Flavio Cobolli
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–57 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 67% |
| Sets won | 59% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
