Flavio Cobolli vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Jesper de Jong have met 3 times since 2021; Jesper de Jong leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Napoli Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Jong has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 2 sets to Jong's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 2/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 1, de Jong 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Flavio Cobolli and Jesper de Jong are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2025
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 29, 2023
Rome Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 6, 2021
Napoli Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +36.9% | -9.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.17u | -1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Jong's 30%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | W 46 76 63 | L 62 57 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | L 67 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 06 76 67 62 62 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 46 36 | L 16 57 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 75 | W 76 36 57 64 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 67 46 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 64 64 64 | L 46 57 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 76 | W 63 36 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | L 63 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 57 64 | L 57 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–63 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 54% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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