Flavio Cobolli vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Jesper de Jong have met 3 times since 2021; Jesper de Jong leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Napoli Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Jong has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 2 sets to Jong's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 1, de Jong 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🤖 Servebot
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2025
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 29, 2023
Rome Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 6, 2021
Napoli Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | -35.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -4.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Jong's 40%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 16 64 36 | W 63 36 61 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 63 | L 57 61 26 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 46 76 63 | L 62 57 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | L 67 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 06 76 67 62 62 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 75 | W 76 36 57 64 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 67 46 16 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 76 | W 63 36 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | L 63 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 57 64 | L 57 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–65 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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