Fernando Verdasco vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fernando Verdasco and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2016; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Busta leads 2–0. Across all meetings Verdasco has taken 2 sets to Busta's 6. Their most recent meeting: Fernando Verdasco won at Bastad (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Verdasco | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fernando Verdasco | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 45% | 27/60 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 47% | 18/38 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 57% | 12/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 31/35 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 66% | 23/35 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Verdasco 1, Carreno Busta 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Verdasco
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fernando Verdasco.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 15, 2018
Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 27, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 13, 2016
Basel
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 27, 2016
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Verdasco | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Verdasco | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Gaston
Seville · Round of 32
Sep 5
Alexandr Cozbinov
Stanford, CA · Round of 32
Aug 14
Gonzalo Lama
Santo Domingo · Round of 32
Aug 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jul 28
Ricardas Berankis
Segovia · Round of 16
Jul 27
Dan Added
Segovia · Round of 32
Jul 25
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pozoblanco · Round of 32
Jul 19
Pavel Kotov
Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Verdasco | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 65% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Verdasco | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Verdasco | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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