Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nick HardtPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทFelipe Meligeni Alves
#453 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฉ๐ดNick Hardt
#281 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Nick Hardt have met 1 time since 2026; Felipe Meligeni Alves leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Alves has taken 2 sets to Hardt's 0. Their most recent meeting: Felipe Meligeni Alves won at Antofagasta Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Nick Hardt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 61% | 28/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 10/40 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 89% | 40/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 62% | 28/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 1, Hardt 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
๐ช Counterpuncher
Hardt
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ช Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felipe Meligeni Alves.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Nick Hardt | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ6 | 2โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.24 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -53.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.79u | -3.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | BRA | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Hardt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Alves's 60%).
| Opponent | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 16 46 | W 64 36 75 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 64 62 | W 62 62 |
| Matias Soto | W 63 60 | W 36 61 60 |
| Fermin Tenti | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nick Hardt
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Juan Pablo Varillas
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 30
Carlos Maria Zarate
Curitiba Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Genoa Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Gonzalo Villanueva
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Marco Cecchinato
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Jakub Filip
Prague Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
Todi Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 10
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 40โ60 matches
| Metric | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 77% |
| Sets won | 58% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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