Federico Coria vs Pedro SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Coria and Pedro Sakamoto have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Santos in 2015 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Coria has taken 4 sets to Sakamoto's 5. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Cordoba Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 1/11 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 4/18 | 32% | 19/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 5/15 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 1, Sakamoto 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Sakamoto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pedro Sakamoto.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2025
Cordoba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2018
San Luis Potosi
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 4, 2017
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 4, 2015
Santos
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.57 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -57.2% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.86u | -0.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Coria | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakamoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Coria | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Ribeiro | L 46 57 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Clement Chidekh
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Vitaliy Sachko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Taro Daniel
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Eduardo Ribeiro
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Santiago De La Fuente
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–60 matches
| Metric | Coria | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 60% |
| Sets won | 38% | 58% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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