Federico Cina vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Cina and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2026; Federico Cina leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Federico Cina won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cina | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Cina | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 12/26 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/63 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 22/49 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 5/16 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 25/39 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cina
💥 Big Hitter
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cina | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -23.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.75u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cina | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 11 | — |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nardi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Cina's 50%).
| Opponent | Cina | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | W 64 62 | W 67 64 64 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 57 62 75 | L 46 16 |
| Viktor Durasovic | L 67 46 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Elias Ymer
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
James McCabe
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–66 matches
| Metric | Cina | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 45% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cina | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cina | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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