Federico Bondioli vs Joel SchwaerzlerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นFederico Bondioli
#302 ยท 21 yrs ยท L
6w31 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ฆ๐นJoel Schwaerzler
#171 ยท 20 yrs ยท L
TitleFederico Bondioli and Joel Schwaerzler have met 1 time since 2026; Federico Bondioli leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Bondioli has taken 2 sets to Schwaerzler's 1. Their most recent meeting: Federico Bondioli won at Trieste Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bondioli | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Bondioli | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 27/42 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 30/74 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 18/32 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 24/35 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bondioli 0, Schwaerzler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bondioli
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Schwaerzler
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Joel Schwaerzler.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Trieste Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bondioli | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Bondioli | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bondioli | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 6โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +13.9% | -21.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.67u | -2.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bondioli | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 7 |
| Distance | โ | 6,345 mi ยท 10,212 km |
| Route | โ | POL โ USA โ JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Schwaerzler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bondioli's 50%).
| Opponent | Bondioli | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Guerrieri | L 67 26 | W 76 61 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 75 60 | W 63 64 |
| Sumit Nagal | W 16 75 63 | W 67 64 61 |
| Marco Cecchinato | L 26 36 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger ยท Final
Jul 19
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Sumit Nagal
Cordenons Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Guido Ivan Justo
Cordenons Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Cordenons Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Sebastian Baez
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Henry Bernet
Trieste Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Maxim Mrva
Trieste Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ74 matches
| Metric | Bondioli | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bondioli | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bondioli | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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