Federico Arnaboldi vs Vilius GaubasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Arnaboldi and Vilius Gaubas have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Verona Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Arnaboldi leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Arnaboldi has taken 2 sets to Gaubas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Vilius Gaubas won at Umag (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaboldi | Gaubas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Arnaboldi | Vilius Gaubas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 45% | 29/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 50% | 18/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaboldi 1, Gaubas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gaubas
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 19, 2025
Umag
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 28, 2024
Verona Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaboldi | Gaubas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Arnaboldi | Vilius Gaubas | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | -19.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | -2.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | ITA | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaboldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Gaubas's 0%).
| Opponent | Arnaboldi | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Brunclik | W 63 60 | L 63 46 36 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 36 36 | L 67 57 |
| Ivan Gakhov | L 75 57 57 | L 26 64 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sandro Kopp
M25 Bolzano · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Peter Buldorini
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniel Salazar
Cordenons challenger
Jul 12
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · Final
Jun 28
Fausto Tabacco
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Max Houkes
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Facundo Diaz Acosta
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Luka Pavlovic
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Pablo Carreno Busta
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jesper de Jong
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–68 matches
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaboldi | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaboldi | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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