Federico Arnaboldi vs Maximilian MartererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Federico Arnaboldi
#478 · 26 yrs · R
32 meetings · sets 0–4
🇩🇪Maximilian Marterer
#1446 · 31 yrs · L
4wFederico Arnaboldi and Maximilian Marterer have met 2 times since 2025; Maximilian Marterer leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Marterer leads 2–0. Marterer has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaboldi has taken 0 sets to Marterer's 4. Their most recent meeting: Maximilian Marterer won at Biella Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaboldi | Marterer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Arnaboldi | Maximilian Marterer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 13/32 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 26/72 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 22/44 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 8/12 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 27/40 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaboldi 0, Marterer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Marterer
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maximilian Marterer.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
Biella Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
May 23, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaboldi | Marterer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Arnaboldi | Maximilian Marterer | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.11u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 462 mi · 744 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrea De Marchi
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Massimo Giunta
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Iannaccone
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Florian Broska
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Maximilian Marterer
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Pavel Lagutin
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Federico Arnaboldi
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Benjamin Hassan
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Louis Wessels
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Aaron Funk
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidane Pontjodikromo
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–72 matches
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 43% |
| Sets won | 55% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaboldi | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaboldi | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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