Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico BondioliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Como Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.85 or longer, Federico Arnaboldi has won 9 of 41 matches, 22% against a fair-price expectation of 27%.
Priced around 1.40 or shorter, Federico Bondioli has won 13 of 15 matches, 87% against a fair-price expectation of 74%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Federico Arnaboldi and Federico Bondioli meet next at the Como Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaboldi | Bondioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Bondioli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 64% | 27/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 41% | 30/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 66% | 27/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bondioli
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federico Arnaboldi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Arnaboldi and Bondioli have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaboldi | Bondioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Bondioli | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | +13.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | +1.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaboldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bondioli's 30%).
| Opponent | Arnaboldi | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | L 26 36 | L 36 64 16 |
| Giorgio Tabacco | W 62 61 | W 63 67 64 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | L 26 46 | W 76 67 64 |
| Gianmarco Ferrari | W 75 76 | L 63 36 46 |
| Francesco Forti | L 63 36 16 | L 63 67 57 |
| Andrea Guerrieri | L 46 46 | L 67 26 |
| Alex Lapsansky | W 61 61 | W 63 64 |
| Nerman Fatic | W 75 46 75 | L 67 36 |
| Alejandro Juan Mano | W 26 63 63 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sandro Kopp
M25 Bolzano · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Peter Buldorini
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniel Salazar
Cordenons challenger
Jul 12
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · Final
Jun 28
Fausto Tabacco
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sumit Nagal
Cordenons Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Guido Ivan Justo
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Sebastian Baez
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Henry Bernet
Trieste Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Maxim Mrva
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–74 matches
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |