Fausto Tabacco vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fausto Tabacco and Luca Potenza have met 2 times since 2022; Fausto Tabacco leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Parma in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Tabacco leads 2–0. Tabacco has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tabacco has taken 4 sets to Potenza's 0. Their most recent meeting: Fausto Tabacco won at M25 Milano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabacco | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fausto Tabacco | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 26/39 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 20/62 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 64% | 21/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabacco 2, Potenza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabacco
⚔️ The Gladiator
Potenza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fausto Tabacco.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
M25 Milano
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2022
Parma
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabacco | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fausto Tabacco | Luca Potenza | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabacco | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +42.8% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +8.99u | -1.23u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabacco | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | ESP → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tabacco has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Potenza's 50%).
| Opponent | Tabacco | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew William Donald | W 64 60 | L 26 67 |
| Petr Nesterov | W 64 36 64 | L 75 36 46 |
| Gabriele Piraino | W 64 64 | W 63 46 64 |
| Giorgio Pistoia | W 62 62 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniele Rapagnetta
Milan challenger
Jun 29
Francesco Forti
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Federico Arnaboldi
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Matthew William Donald
M15 Bergamo · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Federico Iannaccone
M15 Bergamo · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Leonardo Malgaroli
M15 Bergamo · 1st Round
Jun 25
Leonardo Malgaroli
Futures 2026
Jun 24
Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Milano · Final
Jun 20
Alec Deckers
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Aryan Shah
M25+H Tauste · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Samuel Heredia
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pietro Fellin
Trieste challenger
Jul 6
Lorenzo Angelini
Trieste challenger
Jul 5
Matthew William Donald
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Elmer Moller
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–62 matches
| Metric | Tabacco | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabacco | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabacco | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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