Giovanni Oradini vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Giovanni Oradini and Luca Potenza have met 3 times since 2023; Luca Potenza leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Francavilla al Mare in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Potenza leads 3–0. Potenza has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Oradini has taken 3 sets to Potenza's 6. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at M25 Milano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Oradini | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Giovanni Oradini | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 31/41 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 23/72 | 41% | 24/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 22/35 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 18/28 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 21% | 4/19 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 36/41 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 31/41 | 50% | 16/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Oradini 0, Potenza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Oradini
💥 Big Hitter
Potenza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
M25 Milano
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 14, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11
C Clay · 1st Round
May 7, 2023
Francavilla al Mare
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Oradini | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Giovanni Oradini | Luca Potenza | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | +3.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 91 mi · 146 km | 1,315 mi · 2,117 km |
| Route | ITA | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Oradini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Potenza's 33%).
| Opponent | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew William Donald | W 67 75 62 | L 26 67 |
| Massimo Giunta | L 57 67 | L 16 46 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 62 60 | L 36 57 |
| Lorenzo Angelini | L | W 64 36 64 |
| Jacopo Borsoi | W 63 63 | W 62 60 |
| Lorenzo Rottoli | L 26 63 67 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Federico Iannaccone
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Marco Furlanetto
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Giuseppe La Vela
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Pierluigi Basile
Genoa 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Kody Pearson
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Pierluigi Basile
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Matthew William Donald
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–72 matches
| Metric | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 47% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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