Giovanni Oradini vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Giovanni Oradini and Luca Potenza have met 4 times since 2023; Luca Potenza leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Francavilla al Mare in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Potenza leads 3–0. Potenza has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Oradini has taken 4 sets to Potenza's 8. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Oradini | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Giovanni Oradini | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 35/42 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 18/33 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 25/75 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 19/28 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 35/46 | 64% | 21/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Oradini 0, Potenza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Oradini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Potenza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Giovanni Oradini.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Jun 16, 2026
M25 Milano
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 14, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11
C Clay · 1st Round
May 7, 2023
Francavilla al Mare
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Oradini | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Giovanni Oradini | Luca Potenza | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | -1.23u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → AUT | ESP → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Oradini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Potenza's 17%).
| Opponent | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 62 60 | L 36 57 |
| Paris Pouatcha | W 62 46 62 | W 62 60 |
| Matthew William Donald | W 63 67 63 | L 26 67 |
| Alex Martinez | W 76 60 | L 36 36 |
| Lorenzo Rottoli | L 26 63 67 | L 75 46 46 |
| Petr Brunclik | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrej Martin
M15 Vienna · Semifinals
Aug 29
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Alexander Wagner
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Patrick Jozwicki
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa · Quarterfinals
Aug 23
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M25 Lesa · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Federico Bove
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Federico Arnaboldi
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Alec Deckers
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Aryan Shah
M25+H Tauste · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Samuel Heredia
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pietro Fellin
Trieste challenger
Jul 6
Lorenzo Angelini
Trieste challenger
Jul 5
Matthew William Donald
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Elmer Moller
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–75 matches
| Metric | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 52% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Oradini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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