Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitle4 meetings · sets 2–8

🇧🇷Thiago Monteiro
#275 · 32 yrs · L
4wFacundo Diaz Acosta and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2018; Thiago Monteiro leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Montevideo in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 4–0. Monteiro has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to Monteiro's 8. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Concepcion Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 0, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 27, 2026
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 17, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2023
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 7, 2018
Montevideo
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | SMR | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Acosta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Monteiro's 50%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Vilius Gaubas | W 62 63 | L 67 67 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 62 46 61 | L 67 16 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 67 76 76 | W 76 76 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 26 67 | L 16 36 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | W 61 62 | W 62 62 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 67 36 | W 36 63 64 |
| Miguel Damas | W 16 63 60 | W 64 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 46 | L 46 76 06 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 76 64 | W 36 62 63 |
| Henri Squire | W 46 75 76 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 65% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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