Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Diaz Acosta
#69 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ฆ๐นSebastian Ofner
#120 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
5wFacundo Diaz Acosta and Sebastian Ofner have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to Ofner's 2. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at Seville Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 33/53 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/74 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 26/57 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 15/28 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 33/45 | 76% | 22/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Ofner 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
๐ The Complete Package
Ofner
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Ofner.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
Seville Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
May 26, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ4 | 2โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 5,144 mi ยท 8,278 km | โ |
| Route | POL โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Acosta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Ofner's 57%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Dusan Lajovic | W 62 61 | L 36 26 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | W 61 75 | W 76 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 75 67 57 | W 64 62 |
| Daniel Rincon | W 46 64 63 | L 63 57 36 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 67 76 76 | W 76 75 |
| August Holmgren | W 67 64 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniel Elahi Galan
Szczecin Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger ยท Final
Sep 13
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alejandro Moro Canas
Seville Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 7
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Felix Gill
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ77 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 64% | 55% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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