Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Miguel TobonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Miguel Tobon have met 1 time since 2026; Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to Tobon's 0. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at Milan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Tobon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Miguel Tobon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 39% | 21/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Tobon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tobon
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Milan Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Tobon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Miguel Tobon | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | -46.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | -4.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SMR | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Acosta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Tobon's 25%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | L 26 26 | L 67 62 36 |
| Ryan Seggerman | W 63 60 | L 46 63 67 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | W 62 63 | L 76 46 16 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 46 64 76 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Martin Krumich
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ryan Seggerman
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 50% |
| Sets won | 65% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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