Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Hugo Gaston have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Gaston leads 2–1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 7 sets to Gaston's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 33/53 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/74 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 26/57 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 15/28 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 33/45 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
👑 The Complete Package
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Diaz Acosta.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 16, 2024
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2023
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,144 mi · 8,278 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | POL → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Acosta's 50%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 75 62 | L 46 26 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | L 57 06 | W 75 63 |
| Federico Cina | W 46 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 63 46 26 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 26 26 | W 64 36 64 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 76 46 64 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniel Elahi Galan
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alejandro Moro Canas
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–77 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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