Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Hugo Gaston have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Gaston leads 2–1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 7 sets to Gaston's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 16, 2024
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2023
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | +1.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SMR | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Acosta's 60%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | W 46 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 63 46 26 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 26 26 | W 64 36 64 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 76 46 64 | L 26 36 |
| Christoph Negritu | W 64 67 76 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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