Facundo Bagnis vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Facundo Bagnis
#1381 · 36 yrs · L
54w2 meetings · sets 4–1

🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli
#171 · 23 yrs · R
3Facundo Bagnis and Francesco Maestrelli have met 2 times since 2023; Facundo Bagnis leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Umag in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Bagnis leads 2–0. Bagnis has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bagnis has taken 4 sets to Maestrelli's 1. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Bagnis won at Antofagasta Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnis | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Bagnis | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 56% | 14/25 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 35% | 11/31 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 39% | 22/56 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 48% | 12/25 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 48% | 14/29 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 52% | 16/31 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 76% | 19/25 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 56% | 14/25 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnis 1, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnis
💥 Big Hitter
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2025
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 22, 2023
Umag
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.35 |
| ROI % | - | -36.9% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.80u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 523 mi · 841 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Nicolas Kicker
Guayaquil · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gonzalo Villanueva
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Federico Agustin Gomez
Villa Maria Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Leonardo Aboian
Villa Maria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Villa Maria · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 45% |
| Sets won | - | 45% |
| Games won | - | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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