Facundo Bagnis vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Bagnis and Francesco Maestrelli have met 2 times since 2023; Facundo Bagnis leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Umag in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Bagnis leads 2–0. Bagnis has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bagnis has taken 4 sets to Maestrelli's 1. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Bagnis won at Antofagasta Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnis | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Bagnis | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/2 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 3/8 | 40% | 21/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 2/6 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnis 1, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnis
🏹 Frontrunner
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2025
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 22, 2023
Umag
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.14 |
| ROI % | - | -59.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Nicolas Kicker
Guayaquil · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gonzalo Villanueva
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Federico Agustin Gomez
Villa Maria Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Leonardo Aboian
Villa Maria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Villa Maria · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–54 matches
| Metric | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 44% |
| Sets won | 63% | 44% |
| Games won | 57% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnis | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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