Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fabio Fognini and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 9 times since 2016; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 4–1. On clay courts Busta leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Busta leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fognini has taken 8 sets to Busta's 17. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fognini | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fabio Fognini | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 53% | 18/34 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/1 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 48% | 14/29 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 59% | 13/22 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 24/27 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 67% | 18/27 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fognini 0, Carreno Busta 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fognini
⚙️ Grinder
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2022
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 6, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 20, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 6, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 3, 2017
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 1, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 23, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.47 |
| ROI % | - | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger · 2nd Round
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin Challenger · 1st Round
May 14
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–58 matches
| Metric | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 62% |
| Sets won | 0% | 58% |
| Games won | 44% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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