Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fabio Fognini and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 9 times since 2016; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 4–1. On clay courts Busta leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Busta leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fognini has taken 8 sets to Busta's 17. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Naples (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fognini | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fabio Fognini | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/1 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 47% | 18/38 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 57% | 12/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 31/35 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 66% | 23/35 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fognini 0, Carreno Busta 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fognini
🎾 All-Court
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 195 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2022
Naples
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 16, 2022
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 6, 2021
ATP Cup
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 20, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 6, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 3, 2017
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 1, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 23, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 1
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 22
Corentin Moutet
Stuttgart · Round of 32
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Yunchaokete Bu
Turin · Round of 16
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin · Round of 32
May 14
Jacob Fearnley
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 8
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–65 matches
| Metric | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 65% |
| Sets won | 0% | 60% |
| Games won | 44% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fognini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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