Fabian Marozsan vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fabian Marozsan and Luca Nardi have met 4 times since 2023; Fabian Marozsan leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Cagliari Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Marozsan leads 2–0. On hard courts Marozsan leads 2–0. Marozsan has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Marozsan has taken 9 sets to Nardi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Fabian Marozsan won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marozsan | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fabian Marozsan | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 20/44 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 8/24 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 14/19 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marozsan 2, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fabian Marozsan.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 13, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 18, 2024
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
May 3, 2023
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marozsan | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fabian Marozsan | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marozsan | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +8.5% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marozsan | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marozsan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Nardi's 0%).
| Opponent | Marozsan | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 26 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 57 62 46 | L 06 76 36 |
| Yibing Wu | L 46 26 | L 57 64 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Shintaro Mochizuki
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–50 matches
| Metric | Marozsan | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 44% |
| Sets won | 51% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marozsan | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marozsan | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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