Eva Lys vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
32 meetings · sets 4–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wEva Lys and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2022; Eva Lys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Ladies Open Lausanne - Lausanne in 2022 on clay. Lys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Gracheva.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 12, 2022
Ladies Open Lausanne - Lausanne
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | - |
| ROI % | -65.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | — |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Lys and Gracheva posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Lys | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | L 36 16 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 64 46 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–30 matches
| Metric | Lys | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 53% |
| Sets won | 39% | 48% |
| Games won | 44% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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