Eva Lys vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
432 meetings · sets 4–2
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2024; Eva Lys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Lys leads 2–0. Lys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 2. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 16, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | -4.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kessler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Lys's 22%).
| Opponent | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Sofia Kenin | L 61 36 36 | W 61 60 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | L 67 16 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 26 64 62 |
| Katie Volynets | L 75 26 06 | L 36 36 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 46 75 | L 67 67 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 16 46 | L 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | L 67 06 |
| Clara Tauson | L 26 67 | L 36 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anhelina Kalinina
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–44 matches
| Metric | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 48% |
| Sets won | 43% | 49% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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