Eva Lys vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π©πͺEva Lys
#136 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
32 meetings Β· sets 4β2

πΊπΈMccartney Kessler
#95 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6wEva Lys and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2024; Eva Lys leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Lys leads 2β0. Lys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 2. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
πͺ Counterpuncher
Kessler
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mccartney Kessler.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Oct 16, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β5 | 1β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 11,989 mi Β· 19,294 km | β |
| Route | BRA β POR β ROU | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kessler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Lys's 13%).
| Opponent | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 26 | L 16 76 16 |
| Sofia Kenin | L 61 36 36 | W 61 60 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | L 67 16 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 26 64 62 |
| Katie Volynets | L 75 26 06 | L 36 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 16 46 | L 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | L 67 06 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 30β43 matches
| Metric | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 49% |
| Sets won | 39% | 48% |
| Games won | 44% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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