Emiliana Arango vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ดEmiliana Arango
#84 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ช๐ธPaula Badosa
#83 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wEmiliana Arango and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Arango has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arango | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emiliana Arango | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 15/19 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/46 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arango 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arango
๐พ All-Court
Badosa
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐พ All-Court vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arango | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emiliana Arango | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Arango | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | 13โ4 |
| Avg odds | 3.71 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -18.2% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arango | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Arango's 10%).
| Opponent | Arango | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | L 76 36 67 | W 64 61 |
| Tamara Zidansek | L 75 26 36 | W 36 75 76 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | W 64 63 | W 75 76 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 26 | L 16 36 |
| Suzan Lamens | L 16 26 | W 63 62 |
| Kayla Day | L 57 26 | W 64 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 16 | L 26 16 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | L 36 64 36 | L 46 46 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 57 16 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Venus Williams
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lea Nilsson
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 6
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Maya Joint
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ46 matches
| Metric | Arango | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 59% |
| Sets won | 44% | 59% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arango | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arango | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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