Elmer Moller vs Lukas NeumayerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elmer Moller and Lukas Neumayer have met 2 times since 2025; Lukas Neumayer leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2025 on hard. Neumayer has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moller has taken 1 sets to Neumayer's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lukas Neumayer won at Menorca Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 13 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.04 or longer, Elmer Moller has won 16 of 38 (42%). That is level with the 40% the price implied.
At 1.72 or shorter, Lukas Neumayer has won 48 of 76 (63%). That is level with the 61% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Elmer Moller faces Lukas Neumayer in the first round of the Maia Challenger on October 13, a clay court encounter between two players ranked just outside the top 180. Moller sits at 181 while Neumayer is at 180, and both arrive after playing heavy schedules in recent weeks.
The head-to-head record favors Neumayer, who leads 2-0 in their previous meetings. On clay, Moller holds a 55% win rate over his recent sample, while Neumayer has split his clay matches evenly at 50%. Moller won 4 of his last 5 matches but played 6 times in 14 days; Neumayer won 6 of his last 10 and brings a steadier schedule into this round.
Moller constructs points through consistency and court coverage, relying on baseline stability to wear opponents down. Neumayer operates as a reactive player who thrives on breaking up rhythm and capitalizing on short balls. On clay, Moller's ability to sustain rallies and control pace will test Neumayer's willingness to take risk in transition. How each handles the other's tempo and court positioning will define the match.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moller | Neumayer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elmer Moller | Lukas Neumayer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 69% | 29/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 33% | 23/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 52% | 24/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 15/23 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 85% | 33/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moller 0, Neumayer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Neumayer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lukas Neumayer.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2025
Menorca Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 1, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moller | Neumayer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elmer Moller | Lukas Neumayer | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -11.1% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.10u | -1.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moller | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Neumayer's 30%).
| Opponent | Moller | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | L 63 36 26 | L 36 16 |
| Max Alcala Gurri | W 64 63 | W 67 62 62 |
| Zsombor Piros | W 16 61 75 | L 64 46 36 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | W 75 62 | L 67 46 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 75 36 46 | L 36 36 |
| Daniel Michalski | W 26 64 76 | W 46 75 60 |
| Marko Topo | W 64 75 | L 67 57 |
| Jaime Faria | L 16 36 | L 36 67 |
| Nerman Fatic | W 63 67 61 | W 46 63 64 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Tiago Pereira
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Zsombor Piros
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thiago Monteiro
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Carlos Taberner
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Max Alcala Gurri
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Florian Broska
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano D'Agostino
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–69 matches
| Metric | Moller | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moller | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moller | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |