Elina Svitolina vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#219 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElina Svitolina and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 1 time since 2024; Elina Svitolina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 2 sets to Carle's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 0, Lourdes Carle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Carle
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 65% vs 🧱 The Wall across 902 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | +29.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Emma Lene
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 28
Anhelina Kalinina
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jule Niemeier
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Marina Bassols Ribera
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Barbora Palicova
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kathinka Von Deichmann
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 14
Anna Blinkova
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Laura Pigossi
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–54 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 47% |
| Sets won | 67% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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