Elias Ymer vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Taro Daniel have met 6 times since 2018; Elias Ymer leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Gstaad in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 2–1. On hard courts Ymer leads 2–1. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 8 sets to Daniel's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Davis Cup, Qualifiers, 1R, SWE-JPN 3-2 (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 17/31 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 3, Daniel 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2022
Davis Cup, Qualifiers, 1R, SWE-JPN 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 2
Feb 19, 2022
Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12, 2021
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 12, 2021
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 12, 2018
Gstaad
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -55.8% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Ymer's 17%).
| Opponent | Ymer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | L 63 36 46 | W 76 06 62 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 67 36 | L 57 67 |
| Jacob Fearnley | W 62 62 | W 64 61 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 26 67 | W 60 64 |
| Timofey Skatov | L 46 16 | W 63 63 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 57 46 16 | W 36 60 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–61 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 66% |
| Sets won | 50% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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