Elias Ymer vs Pedro SousaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΈπͺElias Ymer
#192 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
4 meetings Β· sets 5β2
π΅πΉPedro Sousa
Unranked
182w3Elias Ymer and Pedro Sousa have met 4 times since 2017; Elias Ymer leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Como in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 2β1. Ymer has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 5 sets to Sousa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Tulln Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Sousa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Pedro Sousa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 17/31 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 2, Sousa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
π₯ Big Hitter
Sousa
π‘οΈ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs π‘οΈ The Spoiler across 117 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elias Ymer.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2022
Tulln Challenger
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Apr 17, 2022
Barcelona
C Clay Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 1, 2018
Doha
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30, 2017
Como
C Clay Β· Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | - |
| ROI % | -55.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 4 | β |
| Matches | 7 | β |
| Distance | 1,797 mi Β· 2,892 km | β |
| Route | CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 8
Joao Sousa
Lisbon Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 5
Titouan Droguet
Lisbon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 3
Ulises Blanch
Oeiras 4 Challenger Β· 1st Round
May 16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Oeiras 3 Challenger Β· Semifinals
Apr 22
Steven Diez
Oeiras 3 Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 22
Alexandre Muller
Oeiras 3 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Apr 20
Henrique Rocha
Oeiras 3 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 18
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril Β· 1st Round
Apr 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 56β56 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | - |
| Sets won | 50% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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