Elias Ymer vs Franco RoncadelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Franco Roncadelli have met 1 time since 2026; Elias Ymer leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 2 sets to Roncadelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Roncadelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Franco Roncadelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 23/54 | 31% | 17/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 16/28 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 90% | 18/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 1, Roncadelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Roncadelli
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elias Ymer.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Roncadelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Franco Roncadelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -55.8% | -53.6% |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | -5.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | CHN | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Roncadelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ymer's 0%).
| Opponent | Ymer | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 26 67 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Tomas Barrios Vera
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Bruno Fernandez
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Norbert Gombos
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jakub Nicod
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Henri Squire
Tampere Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–55 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 56% |
| Sets won | 50% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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