Duncan Chan vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Duncan Chan and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2026; Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chan has taken 1 sets to Mochizuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chan | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Duncan Chan | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 6/11 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 2/11 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 8/8 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chan 0, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chan
🛡️ The Spoiler
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chan | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Duncan Chan | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -42.8% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.14u | +3.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Chan and Mochizuki posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | W 67 63 63 | W 26 62 64 |
| James McCabe | W 76 46 75 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dane Sweeny
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Shintaro Mochizuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
James McCabe
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Daniel Milavsky
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timo Legout
M25 Laval · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Braden Shick
M25 Tulsa · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Charles Broom
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Philip Sekulic
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–55 matches
| Metric | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 40% |
| Sets won | 47% | 45% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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