Duncan Chan vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Duncan Chan and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2026; Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chan has taken 1 sets to Mochizuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chan | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Duncan Chan | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 8/16 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 2/11 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 10/27 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 10/10 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chan 0, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chan
🎾 All-Court
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 119 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Duncan Chan.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chan | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Duncan Chan | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +7.6% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.84u | -4.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | USA | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Chan's 20%).
| Opponent | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Taro Daniel | L 36 26 | W 26 62 62 |
| Braden Shick | L 46 36 | W 64 61 |
| Daniel Milavsky | L 46 26 | W 76 64 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 46 16 | W 16 76 63 |
| Charles Broom | W 67 63 63 | W 26 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Keaton Hance
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Petak
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Dane Sweeny
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Shintaro Mochizuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–63 matches
| Metric | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 40% |
| Sets won | 53% | 43% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chan | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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