Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Michele MecarelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇪Dragos Nicolae Madaras
#488 · 29 yrs · L
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇮🇹Michele Mecarelli
#804 · 19 yrs · R
Dragos Nicolae Madaras and Michele Mecarelli have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Telavi in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Madaras has taken 3 sets to Mecarelli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Dragos Nicolae Madaras won at M15 Telavi (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nicolae Madaras | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dragos Nicolae Madaras | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 34/46 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 17/63 | 35% | 19/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 8/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 2/2 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 9% | 1/11 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 43/47 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 34/47 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nicolae Madaras 1, Mecarelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Madaras
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mecarelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Dragos Nicolae Madaras and Michele Mecarelli are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
M15 Telavi
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 26, 2026
M15 Telavi
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Madaras | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dragos Nicolae Madaras | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 25/26 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 12/26 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 4/26 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Madaras | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -26.7% | -10.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.94u | -1.90u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Madaras has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mecarelli's 40%).
| Opponent | Madaras | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Murariu | W 61 60 | W 62 62 |
| Matei Florin Breazu | W 67 61 63 | L 67 62 67 |
| Martin Van Der Meerschen | W 60 36 63 | L 64 36 67 |
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | W 63 60 | W 46 64 64 |
| Felix Gill | L 46 26 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Vrba
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Oct 2
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 28
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Sep 26
Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Matteo Sabbatini
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 28
Dmitry Popko
M15 Telavi · Final
Sep 27
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Sep 26
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Artur Kukasian
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–66 matches
| Metric | Madaras | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 54% |
| Sets won | 67% | 53% |
| Games won | 60% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Madaras | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Madaras | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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