Diogo Marques vs Lucas PoullainPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Diogo Marques and Lucas Poullain have met 3 times since 2024; Lucas Poullain leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Porto in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Poullain leads 3–0. Poullain has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Marques has taken 0 sets to Poullain's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Poullain won at M25 Porto 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marques | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diogo Marques | Lucas Poullain | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 7/21 | 26% | 18/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 3/4 | 60% | 28/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | 84% | 31/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marques 0, Poullain 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marques
⚙️ Grinder
Poullain
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2025
M25 Porto 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 15, 2025
M25 Castelo Branco 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 28, 2024
Porto
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marques | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.26 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +21.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +3.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marques | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 10 |
| Distance | — | 1,558 mi · 2,507 km |
| Route | — | TUR → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Poullain has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Marques's 25%).
| Opponent | Marques | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | L 67 57 | L 57 26 |
| Joao Domingues | L 62 06 26 | W 61 61 |
| Ivan Perez Martin | W 64 76 | W 26 64 60 |
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | L 46 36 | L 67 63 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · Round of 32
Jun 3
Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 3
Nicolas Tepmahc
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
May 27
Goncalo Marques
M25 Loule · Quarterfinals
May 8
Tomas Curras Abasolo
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Jose Freitas
M25 Loulé · Round of 32
May 6
Izan Almazan Valiente
M15 Sanxenxo · Quarterfinals
Apr 24
Hugo Maia
M15 Sanxenxo · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Lui Maxted
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Michael Geerts
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Viktor Durasovic
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Max Basing
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–69 matches
| Metric | Marques | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 61% |
| Sets won | 39% | 58% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marques | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marques | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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