Diego Schwartzman vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Diego Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 5 times since 2017; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Busta leads 3–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Busta has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Schwartzman has taken 3 sets to Busta's 10. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Bastad (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Schwartzman | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diego Schwartzman | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 10/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 45% | 27/60 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 47% | 18/38 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 57% | 12/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 31/35 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 66% | 23/35 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Schwartzman 0, Carreno Busta 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Schwartzman
⚙️ Grinder
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 15, 2022
Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 23, 2022
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 19, 2021
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 16, 2017
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 6, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Buenos Aires · Round of 16
Feb 13
Nicolas Jarry
Buenos Aires · Round of 32
Feb 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Rosario · Round of 32
Feb 5
Gael Monfils
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 27
Thiago Agustin Tirante
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Vilius Gaubas
US Open · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Andrea Pellegrino
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 19
Jay Clarke
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 65% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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