Dennis Novak vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇹Dennis Novak
#1514 · 33 yrs · R
52w2 meetings · sets 0–4

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wDennis Novak and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 2 times since 2016; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Kitzbuhel in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–0. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Novak has taken 0 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Novak | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dennis Novak | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 58% | 14/24 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 100% | 1/1 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 12/27 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 44% | 7/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 20/24 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 58% | 14/24 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Novak 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Novak
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Dennis Novak and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2025
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 9, 2016
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.16 |
| ROI % | - | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Harry Wendelken
Hersonissos 6 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Hersonissos 6 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Hersonissos 5 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Roberto Carballes Baena
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 17
Syl Gaxherri
Bad Waltersdorf · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Jelle Sels
Biella Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Sandro Kopp
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Jozef Kovalik
Tulln · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–46 matches
| Metric | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 52% |
| Sets won | 33% | 52% |
| Games won | 38% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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