Dennis Novak vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇹Dennis Novak
#931 · 32 yrs · R
46w2 meetings · sets 0–4

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wDennis Novak and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 2 times since 2016; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Kitzbuhel in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–0. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Novak has taken 0 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Novak | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dennis Novak | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 56% | 5/9 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 2/2 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Novak 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Novak
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2025
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 9, 2016
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.74 |
| ROI % | - | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.84u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Novak has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sandro Kopp | W 46 63 75 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Harry Wendelken
Hersonissos 6 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Hersonissos 6 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Hersonissos 6 · Round of 32
Oct 13
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Hersonissos 5 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Roberto Carballes Baena
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 17
Syl Gaxherri
Bad Waltersdorf · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Jelle Sels
Biella Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Sandro Kopp
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–47 matches
| Metric | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 55% |
| Sets won | 48% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Novak | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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