Deborah Chiesa vs Lisa ZaarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W35 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF W35
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 9 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.77 or shorter, Deborah Chiesa has won 11 of 21 (52%). The price implied 61%, so Deborah Chiesa has fallen 9 points short of it.
At 1.92 or longer, Lisa Zaar has won 8 of 22 (36%). The price implied 39%, so Lisa Zaar has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Deborah Chiesa and Lisa Zaar meet in the quarterfinals of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula on October 9, with Chiesa ranked 338th and Zaar at 298th. The clay court contest pits two players who have shown mixed results on the surface in recent matches. Both Chiesa and Zaar arrive with two-match winning streaks after playing twice in the past 14 days.
This will be their first meeting on tour. Zaar has posted an 80% win rate over her last five matches compared to Chiesa's 60%, while their recent forms diverge more sharply over ten matches, where Zaar sits at 60% and Chiesa at 30%. Against shared opposition, the head-to-head record splits: Zaar defeated Georgia Pedone while Chiesa fell to her, yet both won against Elena Ruxandra Bertea and Tiphanie Fiquet.
Chiesa combines aggression with consistency across all strokes and court positions, holding a 55% clay record in her recent sample. Zaar plays a more combative style, relying on physical intensity and competitive resolve, with a 50% clay record over the same span. Chiesa will need her all-court range to neutralize Zaar's relentless pressure, while Zaar must sustain the high-tempo intensity that has carried her through recent wins.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chiesa | Zaar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Deborah Chiesa | Lisa Zaar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 36/47 | 84% | 36/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 11/24 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 22/71 | 28% | 20/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 27/47 | 63% | 27/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 82% | 37/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 36/48 | 80% | 36/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chiesa
👑 The Complete Package
Zaar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,148 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Deborah Chiesa.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Chiesa and Zaar have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chiesa | Zaar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Deborah Chiesa | Lisa Zaar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chiesa | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -37.1% | -30.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.82u | -5.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chiesa | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → MNE | ITA → SRB → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zaar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Chiesa's 63%).
| Opponent | Chiesa | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| Tiphanie Lemaitre | W 67 76 63 | W 62 61 |
| Georgia Pedone | L 46 16 | W 76 61 |
| Mia Ristic | L 57 63 46 | L 63 36 67 |
| Yasmine Kabbaj | L 46 16 | W 75 62 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | W 61 61 | W 36 76 61 |
| Tiphanie Fiquet | W 67 76 63 | W 62 61 |
| Noemi Maines | W 62 61 | W 63 61 |
| Noemi Maines | W 62 61 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Lombardini
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Diana Martynov
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Jana Kovackova
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Eva Bennemann
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 5
Sara Cakarevic
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Sofia Rocchetti
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Rebeka Masarova
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Enola Chiesa
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Arianna Ovarelli
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Elena Korokozidi
W50 Pazardzhik · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nikol Nuneva
W50 Pazardzhik · 1st Round
Sep 14
Katerina Tsygourova
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 71–72 matches
| Metric | Chiesa | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 61% |
| Sets won | 64% | 61% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |